Over time, I became less interested in whether an idea sounded persuasive and more interested in what survived contact with reality.
In business, that means asking questions that are often uncomfortable. What is actually happening? What part of this result is likely to repeat? What are we calling evidence because we want it to be true? What are we still defending because we have already invested in it?
Eventually I realized those questions were not only about markets. They were about me, too.
Decisions begin forming before the moment we call the decision. Expectations change what we notice. Commitment changes how we interpret what happens next. We all experience only part of what is happening, yet it is easy to mistake that part for the whole.
That is where my operating work and my writing increasingly meet.
The quality of a decision depends partly on the quality of what we are willing to notice.